forward-notes · Aug 24, 2025

Forward Note - 2025/08/24

The (trading) game is rigged — few takes are more popular on social media. And after Powell stuck to his music sheet at Jackson Hole, paving the way for a September

forward-notes · Aug 17, 2025

Forward Note - 2025/08/17

The pain shifted back to the call side. Despite some contradictory inflation signals, equities ended the week pushing higher, closing in on all-time highs. The SP500 gained about 1%, the

forward-notes · Aug 10, 2025

Forward Note - 2025/08/10

After zee spike in early August, we just had a fairly quiet, uneventful week—if we put aside the rather astonishing geopolitical developments (more on that in a second). The

forward-notes · Aug 3, 2025

Forward Note - 2025/08/03

Finally, some action. After weeks of lazy summer, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq dropped 2.5%—the first serious drawdown since May. VIX snapped back to life, jumping

forward-notes · Jul 27, 2025

Forward Note - 2025/07/27

Weeks pass and start to look awfully similar: this week, the S&P 500 added a little over 1%, while the Nasdaq rose about 0.5%—a perfect mirror

forward-notes · Jul 20, 2025

Forward Note - 2025/07/20

Quiet summer we were promised, and quiet summer we’ve had—so far. SPY added 0.77% this week, while the Nasdaq closed up 1.34%. Hardly eye-watering performance, but

forward-notes · Jun 29, 2025

Forward Note - 2025/06/29

Equities go up and to the right — whatever you throw at them. Sure, they may have the occasional bloody period, but take a bit of distance and today’s price

forward-notes · Jun 22, 2025

Forward Note - 2025/06/22

We learnt late last night that the United States has finally engaged in direct war with Iran, striking three nuclear sites in Fordow, Isfahan, and Natanz. President Trump is now

forward-notes · Jun 15, 2025

Forward Note - 2025/06/15

The good thing about a data-driven approach is that, once in a while, it stops you from doing something stupid. We felt slightly odd writing "stay put" on